Tuesday, February 07, 2012

Watch out for CEN-SAD and the Arab Maghreb Union's revival in 2012

Here's a turn-up for the books:

"Strengthening the UMA is seen as a counter to the dominance of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) – an organization encompassing six oil-rich Gulf Arab states – which has tried to exert its influence over north Africa in recent years." -- from: http://english.al-akhbar.com/content/tunisia-seeks-revive-maghreb-union

Whatever you may make of that claim, this is going to prove to be an interesting time post-Qaddafi, especially since Morocco will be hosting the Executive Council of Foreign Ministers of CEN-SAD in June in that country. (check: http://www.afriquejet.com/maroc-cen-sad-reunion-du-conseil-executif-en-juin-2012013032457.html).

It's good to know that the CEN-SAD HQ will remain in Tripoli -- as will the Sahelo-Saharian bank. I feel that big things are coming for dynamising North Africa.

Watch this space!

Monday, February 06, 2012

On AL BA and Mobile blogging regionalism

I am quite excited by the prospect of mobile blogging issues on regional integration.

Off-late, been tricky, what with an excess of meetings, but this is to emphatically state that regularity shall return. Posts will be sharper and more-to-the-point.

Am excited by developments in Latin America and regional development banks. More soon!
Sent from my BlackBerry® smartphone from Vodafone

Wednesday, February 01, 2012

Time to Project AU Power in the AU's 10th Year!


The Accidental Ecowas & AU Citizen”:
Africa's rise and how it’s Time to Project AU Power!
By E.K.Bensah Jr

If there were ever a greatest exponent of serendipity, it must have been when I found myself in the home of the African Union in March 2011. Unbeknownst to many, I met my kindred spirit—Mr. Stuart Hastings of towardsunity.org—in person for the first time. I had met him two years earlier online when I was searching through tomes of material on comparative regional integration and trying to find out also whether there were other souls concerned more with the comparative approach on regionalism than simply the single-minded one where, say, the AU, EU or ECOWAS is the main focus.

I would come across Stuart’s site and immediately spark a conversation with him about how the tectonic plates were shifting towards regional unions, and how we both needed to play a part in that change.

His website, then as now, was clear: to travel the world from his home town of Canada and return to produce a book on how far regional unions, such as the EU, MERCOSUR; African Union; and ASEAN can promote promote peace and humanity through democratic dispensations they offer in their institutional structures, and how it was important to re-think some of the current narratives driving hegemons in those respective unions.

So it would be that Stuart and I would meet on 19 March, 2011 at Lime Tree cafe, situated in the rather plush Boston Day Spa on the lush and swanky Bole Road in Addis. I will never forget that day for the people who were there—Stuart Hastings; and a young official of the UN Economic Commission for Africa who might never confess in public he is a Pan-Africanist—and for the fact that after I got back to my hotel, I would catch the news on BBC and Al-Jazeera that a multi-state coalition had began a military intervention in Libya to implement United Nations Security Council Resolution 1973.

I had had a stress-free visit to the AU building days earlier, and so it seemed a bit surreal to see diplomats fluttering in and out after 19 March all over television. It was even harder to believe that the-then almost-completed AU building would play host to an apparent impotence of AU officials and policy-makers it would soon host almost a year later.

It is easy to speculate that it is probably these apparently-impotent AU policy-makers who have just witnessed the inauguration of the new, 28-floor AU building at the just-ended 18th session of the AU in the Ethiopian capital. After the cacophony over the past few days of this Chinese gift to the Africans and the numerous speculations that have abounded over possible quid-pro-quos that might be associated with this expensive gift, it's time to get serious.

There's no gainsaying that China will expect some favours from Africa for having built this building that supposedly towers over the whole of Addis. To harp on it, in my view, is as relevant as claiming that the Europeans and Western donors who pay some sixty percent of many African countries’ budget would expect these-same countries to be indebted to them. The argument is even a non-starter. What I would hope we would talk about are two major things.

First – how it symbolises a renaissance of South-South cooperation and second, how it is a projection of the increasing power of the African Union.

Symbolism of the AU building
Both experts and amateurs on African integration, and Western journalists alike have been speculating over what China is likely to expect from the building they have donated to the African Union. What, for me, took the biscuit was no less than the venerable BBC World Service’s very respected “News Hour” programme on Sunday 29th January interviewing the East African correspondent Will Ross, with an angle that was Sino-African centred in a way that suggested that China wants our natural resources, knows Africa is rising and so wants to capitalize on that rise. In my view, this is not analysis; it is common-sense. There really is no such thing as a free lunch. It is just that with the Chinese, they deliver that lunch faster and with few conditions. That may be the beauty of the relationship, and I believe what African integration watchers all over must be doing right now is to use this as an opportunity to explore and enhance the Sino-African relationship.

In 2010, UNCTAD launched the Economic Development in Africa report. Entitled “South-South Cooperation: Africa and the New Forms of Development Partnerships” it examined recent trends in the economic relationships of Africa with other developing countries and the new forms of partnership that are animating those relationships.

The increasing role of large developing countries in global trade, finance, investment and governance, coupled with their rapid economic growth, has stimulated debate on the implications for Africa´s development.

The report urges African nations to intensify efforts at developing better productive capacities to maximize their gains from the emerging partnerships and the gradual global shift of economic power to the East from the West. African countries, the report states “have to produce goods with high income elasticities of demand and that present greater opportunities for export market expansion”.

The report comprises five chapters dealing with the challenges and opportunities in South-South cooperation, Africa’s trade with developing countries, southern official flows to Africa, southern Foreign Direct Investment to Africa and making South-South Cooperation work for Africa.

The report concludes that Africa-South Cooperation—whether it is Sino— or Indio—not only has the potential to enhance Africa´s capacity to address its development challenges but the full realization of the benefits requires gearing cooperation towards the development of productive capacities across the region.

Bottom line is that Africa as a continent does not yet have a unified strategy relating to Africa-South cooperation and this is evidenced in part, for example, by the way in which the 2010 report was produced by UNCTAD, and not the African Union. Going forward, the AU can use the donation of the building to consolidate the Sino-African relationship—perhaps around infrastructure? — and create an effective strategy round it in a way that will slowly and surely put paid to the West’s.

Projection of power in the AU’s 10th anniversary year!
Who has not seen pictures of the Brussels-based European Commission on TV and thought “wow, that’s a huge building!” And for those who have seen it in person, there’s no gainsaying it’s a rather imposing building. This contrasts sharply with what Stuart Hasting related to in one of our numerous discussions of his globe-trotting in Asia to see the secretariat of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) in Nepal. 

First and most importantly, after having been established in 1985, one would have thought that they might have upgraded their building a little. Pictures online of the Secretariat are consistent with the descriptions associated with Hasting’s sojourn anecdotes. This has prompted much speculation among those of us committed to propagating the development of regional unions and groupings – especially in the developing world— as good – and the greatest exemplification of the very-necessary projection of power the AU so needs to do. Given that this is coming in the tenth anniversary of the African Union, this could not but be a better and fitting presage of Africa’s putative rise!

In 2009, in his capacity as a “Do More Talk Less Ambassador” of the 42nd Generation—an NGO that promotes and discusses Pan-Africanism--Emmanuel gave a series of lectures on the role of ECOWAS and the AU in facilitating a Pan-African identity. Emmanuel owns "Critiquing Regionalism" (http://critiquing-regionalism.org). Established in 2004 as an initiative to respond to the dearth of knowledge on global regional integration initiatives worldwide, this non-profit blog features regional integration initiatives on MERCOSUR/EU/Africa/Asia and many others. You can reach him on ekbensah@ekbensah.net / Mobile: +233-268.687.653.

Thursday, January 26, 2012

The East African Community Learns Lessons of the EURO for its Monetary Zone...but why not consult ECOWAS, too?

Never mind the fact that Britain left 2011 causing a stir with its emphatic stance on the Euro. Never mind the fact that in the 20th anniversary of the Euro, the Europeans, especially Germany and France, are at loggerheads with other European countries over the future of the Euro, it beggars belief that the five-member East African Community are still keen to learn "lessons", which they can adopt for themselves as they anticipate a common currency for the East African sub-region.

Still, if we can get past this minutae,we can probably use it to underscore the fact that the ever-increasingly-regionalized world some of us talked about is developing right before our very eyes. Great will be the day when EAC will ask the West African Monetary Zone(WAMZ) -- comprising Ghana; Guinea; Gambia; Liberia; Nigeria and Sierra Leone -- on lessons over a common currency. Given how convoluted and long the process has been for West Africa, I would have thought the EAC might want to also visit ECOWAS for thoughts on overcoming some of the challenges.

In my view, the fact that the EAC went straight to the beleaguered EU can speak of, at best, a degree of tunnel vision and, at worst, myopia on East Africa managing its own regional integration in Africa when it has formidable African integration actors in the African Development Bank and the UN Economic Commission for Africa??

Enjoy the article below!:

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from: http://thecitizen.co.tz/magazines/-/19235-eac-team-learns-workings-of-eurozones-monetary-union
EAC team learns workings of eurozone's monetary union  Send to a friend
Thursday, 26 January 2012 10:19

By Felix Lazaro, BusinessWeek Reporter
Dar es Salaam. Negotiations for the creation of the Monetary Union in the East African Community are at an advanced stage and the region is determined to learn from lessons from other regions to make the envisaged arrangement a success.

But as an EAC mission, dispatched on a study tour to the embattled Eurozone two weeks ago, is about to come back, the region must do its homework before it plunges into a monetary union arrangement, analysts who spoke to BusinessWeek said.

The EAC must check the speed with which it moves towards the creation of a single currency, Hussein Kamote from the Confederation of Tanzania Industries said.

This is because economic challenges and issues to be worked upon, both by each member states and collectively as a region to make the union sustainable, need more time and resources, according to Mr Kamote the director of Policy and Advocacy at CTI.

 "It is not about stopping the negotiations. Rather we should make sure the deadline is realizable. Negotiations to create the Eurozone took quite a long time, and is still faced with challenges. We must be more careful," said Mr Kamote who is also an Economist.

The EAC member states currently face a myriad of economic problems characterized by high inflation rates and production costs partly as a result of power problems.

While inflation, for instance, peaked in November with 29 per cent for Uganda, followed by Kenya 19.72, Tanzania 19.2, Burundi 16.4 per cent and Rwanda 7.39 per cent, the different basis for calculating these figures implies they may not be comparable.

Going by a study commissioned earlier by the European Central Bank to guide the region, each of the five countries has a raft of housekeeping tasks to perform before the monetary union springs to life. Each has to maintain an annual GDP growth of at least seven per cent, keep inflation below five per cent, and peg national budgetary deficit to five per cent of the GDP before the union is launched.

In addition, to the fact that member states budgets are heavily donor-dependent, the ongoing economic realities should prompt authorities to re-think about the EAC MU deadline.

The heads of state of EAC countries had put this year as the deadline for the creation of the MU but analysts say the deadline is unrealizable.

The EAC-MU at an advanced stage and a team of top government officials from the five countries, who have been negotiating the monetary union protocol since last year, are expected to finalise their report by end of March, just in time for the April's extra-ordinary summit of heads of state. The next round of negotiations is scheduled for Arusha.

A lecturer from Mzumbe University Dr Elisante Ole Gabriel said the EAC members should work on the issue of consistency to avoid divisions and lack of commitments to the negotiations by member states. Already some member states are giving signals that show that they are now entirely comfortable with the entire EAC MU project.

Mr Kamote also urged the EAC to create an autonomous organ like the EU Commission to deal specifically with issues of strengthening the monetary union to relieve the EAC Secretariat whose mandate is not strong enough.

The 20 member delegation from EAC toured Europe for 12 days to learn on issues pertaining to the Eurozone. They visited the Commission and European Development Fund in Brussels; European Central Bank and the German Federal Bank in Frankfurt; Federal Ministry of Finance and Federal Ministry of Economic and Technology in Berlin, and European Investment Bank in Luxembourg.

The delegation comprised chief negotiators of a high level task force negotiating the EAC MU protocol from each country member, five officials from EAC Secretariat led by deputy the Secretary General in charge of Planning and Infrastructure.





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Thursday, January 19, 2012

Critiquing-regionalism is back!


After a few weeks off-air, you can easily-access http://regionswatch.blogspot.com by going to http://critiquing-regionalism.org. There are exciting developments coming up for it, including the development of ECOBANK WATCH (http://www.twitter.com/ecobank_watch).

See you there!

Tuesday, December 20, 2011

MERRY CHRISTMAS and a PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR

To paraphrase the legendary Mark Twain, reports of my blog's death have been greatly exaggerated!

This blog--whether it is Trials & Tribulations of a Freshly-Arrived Denizen...of Ghana; Accra Pictures by Day & Night; or Critiquing Regionalism; et al--are very much alive. The silence is attributed to the usual end-of-year pandemonium and cacophony.

No doubt, they shall all be back in full swing in 2012!

Suffice-to-say, as the sun sets on 2011, I sincerely hope however and whichever way you arrived at this blog entry, you'll be touched by the spirit of Christmas and goodness in the air and make sure you and your family HAVE YOURSELVES a great and scintillating Christmas break.

May it sound, peaceful and stress-free!

Have a supremely enjoyable and wonderful Christmas -- till we meet again in January 2012!;-D

Thursday, December 08, 2011

AFRICA must Stop SOUTH AFRICA from enlisting EU help to get top AU position in 2012

Dear friend,

I am only a proud AU-frican citizen, but I am profoundly disturbed to read that the EU's top boss Baroness Ashton is ready to support South Africa to replace Gabon's Jean Ping in 2012. After the SOUTH AFRICA-NIGERIA duplicity and confusion at the Security Council in 2011 over Cote d'Ivoire, why must Africa sit back and watch the Africa's biggest economy to curry favour with the EU, which is going through its own internal crisis with the EUROZONE, just so that it can pave the way for further support for a permanent position at the UN Security Council?

Read the story below, and make your own judgement as to whether Jean Ping should be offered a UN position...or if it is to be SOUTH AFRICA, should it not be someone like Mbeki?

"Ashton should rather send Zuma to the top UN job, or challenge SA to put Mbeki up at the AU post!!"

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from: http://www.businessday.co.za/articles/Content.aspx?id=160546

EU heavyweight backs Dlamini-Zuma for AU post

The endorsement will boost SA's campaign to have Home Affairs Minister Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma replace Jean Ping as the next African Union Commissioner but it is likely to infuriate France
LOYISO LANGENI
Published: 2011/12/07 06:44:31 AM

EUROPEAN Union (EU) foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton is campaigning in Africa to have Home Affairs Minister Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma appointed as the next African Union (AU) Commissioner, according to a senior government official.

This endorsement will boost SA's campaign to have her replace Jean Ping. But it is likely to infuriate France, which favours Mr Ping for a second five-year term.

Lady Ashton agreed to assist SA to convince the AU's heads of state, especially in west Africa, to have Mr Ping withdraw his candidature, paving the way for Ms Dlamini-Zuma to be elected uncontested, said the official, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the issue.

In return for Mr Ping's withdrawal, the EU would ensure he was "rewarded with a suitable and senior position" at the United Nations. "We met with Catherine Ashton in Perth on the sidelines (of the Commonwealth meeting in October) where she endorsed our plan for our candidate," the official said. "She supports SA's position to strengthen the AU, which is weak, ineffective and has poor administration and governance controls.

"Our strategy will neutralise France which is actively funding the re-election of Mr Ping, even though it is publicly denying it."

EU spokesman Frank Oberholzer said yesterday he was not aware of the Perth meeting. "The EU salutes democratic processes wherever it happens and would support whatever outcome the AU concludes," he said.

The French embassy would only refer to comments by Foreign Minister Alain Juppe during his visit to SA last month — that France had no interest in recolonising Africa.

Department of International Relations and Co-operation spokesman Clayson Monyela said yesterday he was not aware of any deal.

Mr Ping arrived in SA on Monday to attend the United Nations climate-change conference in Durban. His countryman, Gabonese President Ali Bongo Ondimba, attended the conference yesterday.

A senior Gabonese official refused to shed light on Mr Ping's campaign. "We are in competition with SA on the AU position, but we are here in Durban to support SA to conclude a climate agreement."

langenil@bdfm.co.za



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